37: Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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ATR USB microphone.
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Yep, this is the one I used last time.
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And since you didn't complain about it, I'm going to use it again.
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Ha!
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That works.
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That works.
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It wasn't too bad.
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I was going through the editing process with that the last time around.
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And it seemed fine.
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I mean, I noticed it's not a mile for sure.
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Like, I noticed that.
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But other than that, I mean, you got to run a little bit to get some of the background
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stuff out of it.
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But I tend to run that anyway.
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It just means it actually does something on this mic as opposed to the aisle.
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So I'm not going to complain about it.
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Nice.
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Sway goes.
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I will say that I, at least on my end, I started sitting down again.
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Sorry about that.
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Slacker.
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Ha!
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Ha!
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Ha!
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Yeah, it has a little bit to do with me not having the correct setup for a standing environment.
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Because if I said something with a P and it boomed a little bit, it would have this ringing
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that would work its way down into the back end of the microphone, which is not good.
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Because the way that it was mounted had a little bit of...
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It was flexible a little bit, so it would have this ringing in the background.
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Not a good thing.
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So, until I have a legit stand-up scenario for a microphone, I'm going to sit down.
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Fair enough.
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It's the way it goes.
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I suppose I got to get show notes up that way.
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I actually know what we're talking about today.
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What are we talking about today?
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I don't know, but I guess I'll get the notes up to figure it out.
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I don't know what we're talking about.
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But Mr. Tlaab is smarter than we are.
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I will give him that.
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For sure.
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This is the first book I read that made me sound like...
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Or made me feel like an idiot.
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It works.
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There's a lot in this book.
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For sure.
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For sure.
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But before we get there, we need to jump in to follow up.
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And you have a lot here.
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I do.
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And I am proud to say that I actually did all of these things.
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So the first one...
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Is this...
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Well, hold on.
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Hold on.
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Is this the first time...
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Because I hit all of one of mine, this might be the first time we know for certain that
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we've hit all of our follow-up.
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100% on the follow-up?
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Is it the first time?
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It might be.
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That's almost scary.
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We're 37 episodes in and we finally hit all of our follow-up from the last round.
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It was bound to happen at some point.
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At some point we were a success.
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These were fairly easy.
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Let's think about my allies.
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Was pretty easy.
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It was a good exercise.
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It's not something I think that I'll go back in reference.
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I think I may have mentioned that in the last episode.
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I don't really see a whole lot of value in going back to this thing all the time.
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But it was definitely good to go through the thought process, the exercise of identifying
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the people who are my allies.
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I think that's going to change over time too.
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You're going to share this list or is this a secret mic list?
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This is a secret list.
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It's going in the bat cave.
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That works.
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Sometimes I feel like we make lists and people always want to know what is on that list.
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I'm like, "I can't share that.
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It causes all kinds of problems if I share that."
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I understand.
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I know you did want to be on the list.
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I will say that you are on the list.
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You made the cut show.
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I win.
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That's all I wanted to know.
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To me, I don't care who else else is on the list, but that one makes me happy.
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Yay.
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Nice.
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Next one for me was develop an idea bank.
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I started doing this.
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I've got a perspective in my OmniFocus, which has a little money bag icon.
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Just called the bank.
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Nice.
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At least it's not the money flying away.
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This is one that's going to stick, I think.
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Let me give you one example of this that I've used even this week.
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Hosting the productivity show, that's one of my areas with Asian efficiency.
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I'm responsible for laying out the roadmap of episodes, topics that we're going to cover.
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That means also that I'm responsible for grooming the backlog for the scrum process that we
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use.
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Every couple of weeks when I groom the backlog, I have to identify some topics and I have to
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create the issues inside of JIRA, which we use to track all of our work at Asian efficiency.
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Every two weeks, I find myself in the situation where I'm like, "What are we going to talk
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about?"
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Occasionally, there's something that lines up with a release or some chronological event.
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Habits make sense at the beginning of the year when everybody's talking about, "I'm
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going to go to the gym and New Year's resolutions and stuff like that."
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For the most part, it's like, "Okay, we've got to create awesome content now for the next
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two weeks."
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I find that I get podcast ideas all the time.
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If I jot them down in drafts with just Idea, Colon, and then the podcast episode, I can
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send those to my Idea Bank.
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It's like, "Oh, yeah, I've got to find some topics."
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I just go there and I pick the two that I like the best, just from reading through it quickly.
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I think that if I figure out other specific use cases like that, it's going to exponentially
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pay off, but already I'm seeing returns from this idea.
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This Idea Bank is one that you're storing inside of JIRA for Asian efficiency.
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Do you have a personal version of that that you're holding onto for your own projects,
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or is this something that you're trying to do primarily for AE?
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That's a great question, and that's where it's going to evolve a little bit.
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The ideas are actually stored inside of my personal OmniFocus, but when I pick them
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and I'm like, "Okay, this is an idea we're going to do now for the next sprint," then
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I create the issue in JIRA and remove that essentially from the Idea Bank.
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I know that I can find other areas where this is going to be applicable, but I haven't put
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it into practice yet.
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What I'm thinking is that with OmniFocus, you can hack your way around using tags.
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I want to do hashtag podcasts to get my podcast ideas or hashtag dojo for dojo module ideas.
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You could use this anywhere.
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You could use it hashtag blog for blog posts, but that part I haven't fully figured out
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yet, but just implementing it for the podcast already, it's been great.
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The only thing I heard in all of this was OmniFocus.
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I thought you were off of OmniFocus.
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What's this all about?
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If you go back to the tape, I think I'm justified in saying that, I said I will be back.
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I'm a little bit annoyed because by the end of November, they were supposed to have released
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the multiple contacts to the tags and the incessant reminders that Todo has.
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In fact, Matt Ryan told me initially, he's like, you probably don't even need to move
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to Todo because this stuff is coming to OmniFocus.
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But I can't case from the OmniGroup just published an updated roadmap and now that's not coming
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until at least Q1 2018.
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Little bit annoyed, but OmniFocus is great and with iOS 11, it is great-er.
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The drag and drop between OmniFocus and Apple Mail is awesome.
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I know you just switched everything to paper, but this is a Joe workflow right here.
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You can go split screen on an iPad and you can drag an email from Apple Mail to OmniFocus
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and it creates a task in your inbox and it's got the link back to the original message.
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It's genius the way that they've implemented this.
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Common sense, it makes so much sense to do it that way.
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Common sense isn't so common, especially when you get really smart developers that are trying
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to push all the technical stuff.
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I just think that the way that they implemented that is awesome and it makes me really excited
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about that platform.
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It's interesting.
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The thing that I hung up on with these types of things is I don't have an iPad.
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The drag and drop thing, I still don't fully understand because I've never played with
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it.
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That's almost sad to say, but it's not something that I'm going to get super thrilled about
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or even use just because I don't use an iPad in that way.
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I have yet to figure out why I should own an iPad, which is a weird way to come at it.
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That's a whole other topic, Mike.
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That is a whole other topic.
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To be honest, I mean-
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I mean, especially with the stuff that you've been doing with the analogs, I think if you
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were to use a 10.5-inch iPad Pro with an Apple Pencil for a week, you'd be hooked.
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You would have to use the right applications, like good notes, for example, but it would
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give you all of the flexibility that you have for the analog stuff.
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Then, as soon as you wanted to turn any piece of it digital, you could do it using something
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like drag and drop.
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You could have another application open and be like, "Oh, I wrote this handwritten note
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over here.
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I'm just going to drag this into this other application.
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It's going to OCR it for me and it's going to store it."
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I can reference it later whenever I want.
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You're not going to have to worry about transferring notebooks full of information every time you
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get to the last page.
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I actually did solve that.
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I'm actually not transferring anymore.
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Okay.
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I shouldn't say that.
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On a weekly basis, I am, but on a long-term list, I'm not.
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I do keep that digital anymore.
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I think I would convert to some iPad stuff if they bring some of the iPad pro features
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to the mini.
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If they took the iPad mini and gave it all the pro features, I would be hooked on that
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because it's so much smaller and I simply want it for doing notes and such with the pencil.
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If they bring that, yeah, I'll be hooked on that.
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But until that point, I still don't see how that's helpful versus, because with the new
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MacBook Pros versus the iPad pro, my stepdad was just here this past weekend and we were
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working through, he's got one of the full-size iPad pro.
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What is it?
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12.9 is the size of that thing.
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It's just a monster, gorgeous screen.
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Love that thing.
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Looking at it, by the time you get a keyboard and everything on it, it's actually thicker
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than my MacBook Pro.
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Okay, do I want an iPad pro that's bigger than my MacBook Pro?
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When personally, the way that I do things, the MacBook Pro has a lot more power for what
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I want to do with it.
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I don't see the point in that because everything I could do with the iPad I already do with
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the MacBook and quicker.
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Well, yeah, I get that.
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You can't compare the 12.9 inch to your 13-inch MacBook Pro because you're right.
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The screen size is exactly the same and you're sitting there looking at, "Well, this is basically
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the same size.
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I can do way more on this."
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What you need to do is you need to use a 10.5 inch, not a mini.
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Believe me, I had the same thought process you did.
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I've had a mini for years.
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I've had multiple revisions of the mini.
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The 10.5 inch is the sweet spot.
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It's incredible.
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It's so light that you probably are thinking, "Well, the mini is going to be more portable.
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I can just grab it and go somewhere."
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The 10.5 inch is so light and it is so portable that I think it would meet all of your requirements
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in that regard.
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Plus, having that larger screen to actually draw on is really, really nice.
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Here's why I want the mini because I don't disagree with you.
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The 10.5 I could see having a lot of valid pros versus the cons.
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I already carry around a book quite a bit.
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Currently, I've developed this habit of carrying around a notebook along with that.
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I've got my normal reading book plus my analog task management stuff that I've been using
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lately.
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I'm already carrying those two around and they're roughly the size of the mini.
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That's why I want that because then it would just be something I carry around all the time
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and it would be thinner than my notebook.
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I could see that, but the 10.5, that's a whole different level that I'm carrying around
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with me all the time.
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That's why I'm interested in that.
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Yeah, I get that.
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I don't know.
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I carry a 10.5 around in a book quite frequently.
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The 10.5 is a little bit bigger, but it's not too bad.
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Are you carrying that around in a backpacker by hand?
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Well, when I am out and about, I'm carrying it in a backpack, but often I will grab just
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my iPad and a book and go somewhere.
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If I know that I'm not trying to achieve maximum productivity during this particular
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session, I'm not on the clock, so to speak, then often I will grab just the iPad Pro with
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I've got a smart keyboard cover, which is actually really thin.
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It's way thinner than a lot of the other keyboard cases.
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I know that there's some complaints about the actual keyboard in that, but in my experience,
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it's not bad at all.
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It's a full-size keyboard, so it feels really good when you're typing.
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Then a book because books come on.
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Bookworm, you have to have a book.
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Life is not moving unless you have a book in your hand.
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Exactly.
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Okay, I'll maybe think through this a little more.
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I've got a lot that I've been collecting on this, trying to nail down what I think about
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it.
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I haven't...
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It's an expensive experiment to just go buy one just to see how it's going to work.
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It's expensive to do that, especially at the level that I would want to purchase said
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iPad, so I don't see myself doing that just on a whim.
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It's likely going to be something that here is the use case that warrants this level of
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purchase, because I'm trying to change my mindset over from having these devices as
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a place that I hang out versus a tool to use.
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If I'm going to purchase an iPad, I want it to be a tool that has a very specific and
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yet highly valuable purpose behind it.
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Fair enough.
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There's our Apple and iPad rant.
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Quite the tangent for an IdeaBink.
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I'll start by OmniFocus.
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You scoundrel.
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Oh, Omni.
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I still love Omni.
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I just am not using it as much as I hate to say that.
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Yeah, actually the thing...
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Okay, so the thing that really bugged me about the new post from Ken Case is that OmniFocus
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too has been around for years, so it is due for a major update.
00:16:04
They're talking about adding these multiple contexts and adding these recurring reminders.
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The two is that exist in other applications already.
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In the last post, he mentioned that that's going to be released as OmniFocus 3, which
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I know means another major investment in order to use this tool, which I know I'm going
00:16:21
to buy it.
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I've resigned myself to that fact, but the fact that this stuff has been teased for so
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long and now it feels like, "Oh, we're going to just roll this over into the new version
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and that's going to be a paid upgrade."
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That feels a little bit weird because I haven't heard anything else about new design or anything.
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Those features enough, I don't think justify a major version release, but we'll see how
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that shakes out.
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I just listened to the MacPower users' podcast where they had Ken Case and Dave Tier.
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Oh, yeah.
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Yep, the developer roundtable.
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Yeah, so I listened to that.
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Two of the three were doing subscription models, whereas Ken Case and Team are not.
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Don't you do it on me.
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Don't you do it.
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I can't help but think they'll eventually get to that point, just because they have such
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a long release cycle that they have to lengthen it out a little bit in order to justify the
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cost because if they're releasing a new version every three years on something, they're usually
00:17:40
pretty major updates when they do that.
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That's a good thing whenever they really push the envelope when they do that, but it also
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means that they have to charge quite a bit for their apps and whenever they do push out
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a new one, it's going to be another paid upgrade.
00:18:00
You still have to pay to do that.
00:18:02
I can't help but think that the pace of app development in today's world is so fast that
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you almost have to go subscription just to keep the lights on to keep things moving at
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a quick pace.
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You're going to get me on a soapbox as a developer with all this stuff.
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That's just the way things are going lately.
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Yeah, I'm not excited about that.
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I hope that Omni is able to figure out how to crack that nut.
00:18:30
Something that I thought was cool, I've mentioned the set app service before.
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I'm pretty sure on Bookworm, but I really like this idea and they just added to do as
00:18:41
an application in the set app service.
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So yeah, they've got and actually they announced they're over 100 apps now and they curate all
00:18:50
the apps so they're pretty quality apps and I'm excited to see where that service goes.
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I hope that that model is sustainable for software developers because I think that's
00:19:01
much more palatable for a consumer than, hey, sign up for this service and this service
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and this service and this service and this service.
00:19:08
Because then it gets expensive.
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You start tacking all those together.
00:19:13
Yep.
00:19:14
Okay.
00:19:15
Are we done with our bunny trail?
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I think so.
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I think so.
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So the next one, who knew that an idea bank would be for that?
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I kind of did as soon as I said, Omni Focus.
00:19:25
But it's all your fault.
00:19:29
The next one here is my outside in analysis, which I did.
00:19:33
And I'm not going to share all of my problems here on the podcast, but I will say that it's
00:19:39
a little bit humbling and I've got a lot of stuff to work on.
00:19:45
But yeah, I think that this was again a really good exercise and I also think that some of
00:19:52
these things I wouldn't have discovered had we not done bookworm for the last, what is
00:19:59
it like year and a half, almost two years that we've been doing this?
00:20:04
It's been, so we just launched it before a max stock two years ago.
00:20:08
Okay.
00:20:09
Yeah.
00:20:10
So a little, a little over a year.
00:20:11
You're pushing a year and a half.
00:20:14
But it was, it was kind of cool to see like, even though it was a hard exercise because
00:20:18
I'm basically putting myself under the microscope and pointing out all my flaws.
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It also showed me the areas or the ways that I've grown, like just being able to notice
00:20:31
some of these things I knew is like, oh, I wouldn't have, I wouldn't have noticed that
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before I read this book and understood this, this point and got this perspective, if that
00:20:41
makes sense.
00:20:42
So bittersweet, I guess, but it's done.
00:20:46
It's one of those things that you need to do this because I am convinced that, and a
00:20:53
lot of people say this, self-awareness and understanding how you work and what you, like
00:20:57
why you do the things you do.
00:21:00
Those are some of the most important things you ever learn in life.
00:21:04
If you know how to get yourself to do a lot of high quality and very pointed and focused
00:21:10
work, that's huge.
00:21:12
But at the same time, if you know that you struggle to help people through problems and
00:21:19
you're working in, say, IT, that's an issue and you need to be very aware of that.
00:21:25
So I feel like this outside in analysis is a very good thing to do.
00:21:29
I'm a little afraid to do this thing, but I understand the value of it.
00:21:34
I just don't want to do it.
00:21:36
Yeah, it's fair.
00:21:39
So that's the outside in analysis and the last one, play video games.
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I definitely succeeded at this one.
00:21:45
I am hooked on FIFA.
00:21:47
Although, it can be a little bit frustrating because whenever you play any sort of video
00:21:53
game online, which is fun, I mean, you can connect and you get plugged in with somebody
00:21:59
who's in the same division as you and it's always like a pretty good game.
00:22:04
And literally it just takes a couple of seconds to set that up.
00:22:07
That's really cool when you think about it.
00:22:09
But also it shows me that there are a lot of other people who spend way more time playing
00:22:14
video games than I do and are way better than me.
00:22:18
It also locates me as not very good.
00:22:22
Another humbling experience.
00:22:23
Yep, exactly.
00:22:25
I suppose that means you're done and I have to go.
00:22:30
Yep.
00:22:31
So the one that was on my list from the last round was project planning methods.
00:22:38
And what I mean by that is trying to nail down a way to keep track of what project, when
00:22:45
and where.
00:22:47
And it's very similar to, you know, from the GTD world of task management, but doing that
00:22:53
on a project level.
00:22:55
So it takes you up to the next, what would that be, horizon one versus the runway, whatever
00:23:02
you want to call it, the 1000 foot level in GTD.
00:23:05
So trying to manage that level.
00:23:07
So I know what project to do, what day of the week, where things at in the process.
00:23:11
And I did nail down and I've had this for a little while.
00:23:17
It's a way to use the whiteboard in my room because I love my whiteboard.
00:23:22
And I have it set up such that there are projects that might go forward.
00:23:28
And I guess I should back up.
00:23:31
It's primarily for all of my client projects.
00:23:33
I don't manage like my bookworm projects for each episode.
00:23:37
Like I don't manage that level of work in here and I don't manage like my household
00:23:42
projects on it.
00:23:44
But it does all of my client projects, which is like the one thing that's been stressing
00:23:48
me out lately is what is, where is everything in this flow?
00:23:52
Clients just pull no way.
00:23:55
Never.
00:23:56
That's never going to happen.
00:23:58
So I needed a way to keep track of where all these things are at the process.
00:24:04
I could use something like Trello.
00:24:06
I could do that.
00:24:08
But at the same time, it's helpful for me.
00:24:10
I'm learning the value of the analog system.
00:24:13
So bear with me.
00:24:14
I have this thing set up such that there are four really five categories that things can
00:24:21
be in.
00:24:22
Like the projects that I might be moving forward on, some that I have a commitment on but aren't
00:24:26
scheduled or the first payment's not in on it.
00:24:29
So they're in the queue.
00:24:31
So there's those two.
00:24:33
And then after the work is done, I've got like I'm waiting for a response from them
00:24:37
before I send the final payment or it's pending payment, meaning it's done.
00:24:42
I'm just waiting for that invoice to come in.
00:24:44
So there's those four categories.
00:24:46
And then the big one is in the middle of what week am I actually going to be doing this
00:24:50
work so I can plan out here are the two three clients I'm going to be working on this week,
00:24:55
next week here are the two that I'm working on the following.
00:24:58
Here's four that I'm working on and then you know so on and so forth.
00:25:01
And I usually plan about four, sometimes five weeks out.
00:25:06
So it's helpful for me to know where are these, where are these projects in the queue
00:25:11
and what week am I going to be working on them?
00:25:13
Because if I'm talking to somebody new, say this afternoon, I need to be able to tell
00:25:17
them, yeah, I'm going to start this in two and a half weeks and we'll be done by the
00:25:20
end of that week.
00:25:21
So I need to be able to say that.
00:25:23
So it's a good thing to be able to tell people when their project is going to be done, they
00:25:29
seem to like that.
00:25:30
So that's kind of where I'm at on that.
00:25:32
It's interesting because I've got each project laid out on a post-it note and it's like the
00:25:38
bigger post-it notes so I can literally just pull it off and move it from category to category.
00:25:43
Much like you would with cards on Trello.
00:25:44
I know that I could do this on Trello.
00:25:46
Not going to do it on Trello.
00:25:49
No Trello.
00:25:50
Like I get enough emails about you should use Trello for this.
00:25:54
No, I'm not using Trello for this.
00:25:56
So that's what I'm doing.
00:25:57
And it's been very helpful.
00:25:58
I've been enjoying that process.
00:26:00
Nice.
00:26:01
Yeah, I'm not a huge fan of Trello.
00:26:04
I get the idea behind Trello and it actually is owned by Atlassian now so it integrates real
00:26:10
nicely.
00:26:11
Oh, I didn't know that.
00:26:12
I didn't know whether Atlassian stuff.
00:26:13
But there's just little things about it that bugged me.
00:26:15
Like you're supposed to be able to embed Wistio links which is great because we're going
00:26:21
to use Trello for product development with a bunch of beta testers.
00:26:24
I'm like, oh, I'll just embed the Wistio links.
00:26:27
Turns out you actually can only do that in a comment which makes no sense.
00:26:32
Like I want cards with the videos in them for people to review.
00:26:37
And all I can do is add an attachment with a link and now they've got to go into a new
00:26:41
window and just like dumb.
00:26:44
But the idea behind Trello is really good.
00:26:47
And I think that when you're using it with other people, specifically clients, you know,
00:26:51
the people that you're going to be working with that aren't necessarily part of your
00:26:54
organization, it's a great tool because people seem to pick it up and it seems to make sense
00:27:00
pretty easily.
00:27:03
The one thing that I've found because I have people like to recommend stuff like whenever
00:27:07
you go paper.
00:27:08
So here's the thing you should know.
00:27:10
For the listeners, if you have any kind of an online audience and you mentioned that
00:27:15
you're going to use paper for a given thing like task management, project management,
00:27:22
you know, just taking notes, anytime you do that, you will get tons of people recommending
00:27:28
certain apps that do the same thing digitally and that you can carry with you everywhere.
00:27:32
I'm aware of this.
00:27:34
So here's the backstory.
00:27:37
With client work, especially the type of client work that I do, clients often have their own
00:27:43
systems that they simply want to add me to.
00:27:46
I'm a part of 28 Slack teams right now.
00:27:49
It's intense.
00:27:51
And if I turned on all the notifications on that, it would just sit here and ding all
00:27:54
day long.
00:27:55
Like that's how much I would get with Slack groups.
00:27:58
I'm a part of a lot of to do stuff.
00:28:00
I'm a part of a lot of Trello stuff.
00:28:02
I'm on a lot of Atlassian stuff.
00:28:04
Like I'm on a lot of these tools.
00:28:07
And I think that's part of the reason I ended up on paper because I'm just tired of so many
00:28:11
of these tools.
00:28:12
I can tell you exactly where the pros and cons of each of them are.
00:28:15
And yet I was still using OmniFocus for a long time.
00:28:18
But yeah, if you want to know what all the edge cases are and what people would recommend,
00:28:23
just tell people you're using paper.
00:28:24
They'll give you tons of recommendations.
00:28:28
Paper like the app you mean, right?
00:28:30
Exactly.
00:28:31
That's exactly what I'm talking about.
00:28:33
Whatever.
00:28:34
So with all that out of the way, and we've had our 30 minutes of fun.
00:28:40
Oh, wait a minute, wait a minute.
00:28:42
You know what paper is really good at is being anti-fragile.
00:28:49
Segway of the year right here.
00:28:56
Speaking of which...
00:28:57
Here you go.
00:29:00
Here's our book for the day.
00:29:01
Yeah.
00:29:02
And why you picked this one?
00:29:04
Okay, because I'm not entirely sure why I picked this one.
00:29:07
But the book for today, "Anti-fragile, Things that Gain from Disorder, New York Times best
00:29:13
seller, and written by the same guy that wrote the black swan, Naseem Nicholas Taleb."
00:29:19
I think I got the name right.
00:29:20
I looked it up, but that doesn't mean I got it right.
00:29:23
And this is a book that it was recommended in one of our other books.
00:29:27
And I was really smart when I wrote down this book in my list, and I simply said, "Great
00:29:33
recommendation in the book."
00:29:36
And I must have got distracted or somebody stopped and said something because I never
00:29:40
wrote the book title down as to what book recommended this book.
00:29:45
So I don't actually know where this came from, but I was running through my book list whenever
00:29:51
I was selecting these and saw it on the list and I looked it up.
00:29:55
And then whenever I picked it, I was like, "Okay, well, it's a New York Times best seller.
00:29:59
It's by a guy that's written a number of books at this point, and he seems to be getting
00:30:03
a lot of accolades on it.
00:30:05
It's a fairly big book, but we've been doing a lot of short books lately.
00:30:10
Looking at you, Mike.
00:30:11
Except for big books.
00:30:12
And exactly.
00:30:13
So my thought was, "Well, I'll pick a longer book just because we've been doing some shorter
00:30:17
books."
00:30:18
And then Mike selected, paid to think immediately before this one.
00:30:20
Sorry about that.
00:30:22
Those who were reading along.
00:30:23
And that means that we had two borderline textbooks in a row.
00:30:28
And here's a little pull the curtain behind or pull the curtain away for a bookworm.
00:30:35
Mike and I were trying to record this particular episode a week ago, and we had failed to get
00:30:41
it on the calendar right away.
00:30:42
And Mike texted me saying, "Hey, are we still good to go tomorrow?"
00:30:45
It's like, "Nope.
00:30:46
I am nowhere near done with this book.
00:30:47
Can we push it off a week?"
00:30:49
So if there's an extra week in between releases, that's why I was not done with this one.
00:30:55
So here we go.
00:30:56
Here we are.
00:30:57
Yeah, full disclosure.
00:30:58
I wasn't either.
00:30:59
But this one was a little bit...
00:31:00
Oh, you mean it sound like you were done with it.
00:31:02
You were just waiting on me.
00:31:03
I could have been done with it.
00:31:07
But yeah, this one was hard for me to be motivated to read.
00:31:14
It was really...I'm not sure what the term would be because half the time I feel like
00:31:22
he's showing off how smart he is, half the time I feel like he's dumbing stuff down for
00:31:27
us.
00:31:29
And I never really found the balance where I could relate to the author.
00:31:35
So every time I picked it up to read, I felt one of two negative emotions.
00:31:41
Like, "Why am I reading this?" or "I can't believe..."
00:31:45
Like, "I have no business reading this."
00:31:48
Yeah, yeah.
00:31:49
I get it.
00:31:50
Because this is something that I enjoyed reading it, but I think there are a number of times
00:31:56
we talk about a book that's probably not designed for the bookworm format.
00:32:01
And it's interesting to me that books often come with an expectation on how you will read
00:32:07
it.
00:32:08
And I think that's something that people really talk about because it's just a thing where
00:32:13
here is a book, it's designed to read, say, a chapter per week.
00:32:17
You go do something about it and you come back to it.
00:32:19
Like, that's a method that they have, that they want you to read it.
00:32:23
Every once in a while you run across a book like this that it doesn't have an explicit
00:32:28
way that you should read it, but there's like an implied way that you should read it.
00:32:34
In this case, I felt like it was designed to read four or five, maybe ten pages at a time,
00:32:41
and then sit on it, and then come back to it after you've marinated on it and then read
00:32:47
it a little bit more.
00:32:48
So that this is a book that you read across, say, five or six months instead of a two-week,
00:32:54
or in my case, maybe Mike's case, three-week time frame.
00:32:58
So I think this is a case of you and I likely went through this too fast because we were
00:33:05
doing it for Bookworm.
00:33:07
Maybe that's something we need to pay attention to in the future.
00:33:09
I don't know, but it is interesting that with something like this, there's so much in here.
00:33:14
And it's a lot of cases over my head, and you can tell he's a smart dude for sure, and
00:33:21
I'm interested to know how many people read this and understood the whole thing.
00:33:26
I was interested in that.
00:33:28
Yeah, well, I took it as we just don't have 30 to 60 hours per week to read like he does,
00:33:36
because he mentioned that in here.
00:33:41
But yeah, I agree that this is definitely not a page turner per se.
00:33:47
It's a read a couple pages and then, okay, what did he just say?
00:33:51
Yes, exactly.
00:33:52
He's not figured out.
00:33:53
Exactly.
00:33:54
Yeah.
00:33:55
And to reread a paragraph.
00:33:56
Yeah, that part was kind of frustrating.
00:33:59
I do like the way that it's broken down into the different books.
00:34:02
There's basically seven different books inside of anti-fragile.
00:34:07
And it seems to make sense the way that he broke it down.
00:34:12
Like Bookworm was an introduction to the whole concept of anti-fragile.
00:34:17
Book two talks about how in the modern society, we kind of deny this idea of anti-fragility
00:34:24
or Book three talks about how anti-fragility is actually something that you could use
00:34:31
to make better predictions.
00:34:34
Number four talks about optionality and technology in terms of anti-fragility.
00:34:39
Book five talks about the math stuff.
00:34:41
It's actually called the non-linear and the non-linear.
00:34:44
Lots of math.
00:34:46
Tons of math.
00:34:47
Yeah, which that was a little bit hard to muscle through.
00:34:51
Book six.
00:34:52
A little bit.
00:34:53
Book six was my favorite one.
00:34:57
It's a via negativa.
00:34:59
And that basic idea there is that a lot of positive outcomes come from avoiding negative
00:35:03
scenarios.
00:35:04
And then the last one, Book seven, he wraps it up, which if you think about this, like
00:35:10
makes no sense to end on this note, but he's talking about the ethics of fragility and anti-fragility.
00:35:16
So is this an ethical idea?
00:35:21
Like usually the conclusion, you're kind of bringing it in for a nice landing and he's
00:35:25
tackling the medius topic at the very end of the book.
00:35:28
Yes.
00:35:29
Yes.
00:35:30
I really wanted a conclusion and a wrap up, not a-
00:35:33
Yeah, exactly.
00:35:34
Give me the most difficult thing we're going to talk about and then I'm going to leave
00:35:37
you on it.
00:35:38
Right.
00:35:39
Right.
00:35:40
Which based on just reading this book, I can kind of project that that's totally his
00:35:45
personality, not actually having met him, but just the way that he wrote.
00:35:50
I could see him writing this and being like, yeah, I'm just going to screw the system.
00:35:55
Like I'm going to do it different.
00:35:57
Yes.
00:35:58
Yes.
00:35:59
So before we go too far, I think we need to define anti-fragility just because this
00:36:06
is a word he coined and it's a word that is going, we're probably going to end up using
00:36:11
it a lot.
00:36:12
And unless you understand it, at least to some extent, because it's kind of a really
00:36:18
abstract thing to think about, unless we define it, this whole episode is going to
00:36:23
be really confusing.
00:36:24
So let's start with book one.
00:36:27
And I wrote down here, fragile versus robust versus anti-fragile.
00:36:33
So if you think about something that is fragile, and the easy explanation I've been using on
00:36:40
this whenever I talk to a handful of people about it is simply a glass.
00:36:45
If you drop a glass, you're screwing with its environment, you're screwing with the
00:36:49
climate that it is comfortable in, and it is going to shatter.
00:36:53
If you drop it off of a table, that glass will shatter because it is designed to sit
00:36:58
in a stable place on a flat surface, preferably with liquid inside of it, and not move beyond
00:37:05
that.
00:37:06
Like it's just not designed to be struck in any way.
00:37:11
So that would be fragile.
00:37:13
The robust side of things is when you have an assembly line of sorts that is designed
00:37:22
to have tolerances in it, and whenever things potentially go break, there are fail-safes
00:37:28
or backups such that will account for something that is not in place.
00:37:34
Like it's not fragile because you can account for issues that could arise and overcome those
00:37:40
on the fly.
00:37:41
When the whole assembly line is not going to completely break and stop altogether.
00:37:47
So that would be the robust.
00:37:50
Anti-fragile, you had to help me out here, Mike, because this gets kind of hairy quick.
00:37:56
You have to think of it as the opposite of fragile, where something in the environment
00:38:01
changes and the whole system could come crashing down.
00:38:05
The opposite of that would not be that the climate changes and it simply doesn't come
00:38:10
crashing down.
00:38:11
That would be robust.
00:38:13
As opposed to coming crashing down, it would actually thrive.
00:38:17
So if I throw that glass on the floor, the glass would actually get stronger as a result,
00:38:21
not break.
00:38:22
Like that would be your anti-fragile.
00:38:25
And I think the classic example here, just to put a little teeth into this, I think that
00:38:33
example would be health.
00:38:35
It's probably the easy one is take exercise, for example, or lifting weights.
00:38:40
Say I lift weights and I'm lifting just for easy numbers, say you're lifting 100 pounds
00:38:45
in some form.
00:38:46
If I lift that 100 pounds today, then my body will reactlimate to that 100 pounds and it
00:38:54
will overcompensate for what was lifted.
00:38:58
Meaning that tomorrow whenever I go do it, I can then add, probably not tomorrow, say
00:39:02
two days because you got to recover, 105 pounds.
00:39:05
And then two days later, 110 pounds.
00:39:07
And you can continually go up because your body is overcompensating.
00:39:11
Whenever you stress it, it gets stronger and tends to grow and get better as a result.
00:39:16
Thus, their tagline, things that gain from disorder, meaning a stressor or something that
00:39:22
goes wrong.
00:39:24
Is that a fair justification between all three of those?
00:39:29
Yep.
00:39:30
Yeah, the definitions that I wrote down, fragile is at best unchanged, at worst, broken or damaged
00:39:35
with mishandling.
00:39:37
Robust is at best or worst unchanged with mishandling.
00:39:41
And anti-fragile is at worst unchanged and at best improved with mishandling.
00:39:47
So there is a spectrum there, but basically there's more good than bad that comes from
00:39:53
the volatility with something that is anti-fragile.
00:39:56
And the example that he uses in this is from classic literature.
00:40:00
Actually, I'd never heard of this before, but which, again, made me feel a little bit
00:40:05
stupid when I was reading this.
00:40:07
Because he's like, "Oh, obviously the example here is the hydra."
00:40:11
And the hydra apparently is a creature, which is like kind of like a snake.
00:40:17
And every time that a head is cut off, two grow in its place.
00:40:21
So normally you would think that you cut the head off of something that's going to die,
00:40:25
but in the hydra's case, what happens is that it actually grows two heads and it becomes
00:40:30
even stronger.
00:40:34
And that is something that I struggled with in this book because there are a lot of examples
00:40:41
that he would, he names in a lot of cases, he would throw things out and the expectation
00:40:45
is that you know that person or you know the story behind it.
00:40:50
And yet most of those I did not know.
00:40:54
And maybe that's just Joe not keeping up with the times or reading enough books.
00:40:59
Who knows?
00:41:00
And that's something that it was just, it was difficult because you end up having to either
00:41:07
look something up or try to wait because in hope that he'll tell the story later about
00:41:13
what he's getting at.
00:41:14
And in some cases he did and in some he didn't.
00:41:17
Lots and lots of stories, which is great.
00:41:19
But at the same time, it almost requires you to have read an extra thousand books just
00:41:24
to be able to read this.
00:41:26
Yeah, you got to read 30 to 60 hours a week, otherwise there's something wrong with you.
00:41:29
Yeah, exactly.
00:41:30
What's wrong with you, Mike?
00:41:33
Yeah, the term for this process of things that surviving gets stronger, I believe he
00:41:41
used was Mithriditization.
00:41:44
Yes.
00:41:45
And the example here is bacteria or cancer cells that survive.
00:41:52
So not to go onto a tangent or open a can of worms, but this is the logical example I
00:41:59
think is how you see all over the place now antibacterial everything and how that can
00:42:07
actually be a bad thing because if it kills 99.99% of bacteria, the 0.01% that survive,
00:42:15
they've now got this immunity and they're stronger, they're more resistant to all of
00:42:20
this stuff.
00:42:21
And if you overdo it, eventually what you end up with is a whole bunch of bacteria that
00:42:27
you can't do anything against.
00:42:30
They're much stronger.
00:42:31
Yes.
00:42:32
For sure.
00:42:33
Yes, exactly.
00:42:34
I know that the classic example I have on that is from agriculture because in ag, people
00:42:41
use Roundup quite a bit.
00:42:42
You know, Roundup is even almost a household term anymore.
00:42:47
And it comes from spraying it on fields in mass.
00:42:51
And the problem with a lot of that is guys don't want to spend the money to use the correct
00:42:58
rates of Roundup on the field, which means that not all the plants get killed whenever
00:43:06
they spray it and the ones that survive end up being almost resistant to it.
00:43:11
And then over time, they eventually do become resistant to it.
00:43:15
And thus we see today a number of super weeds that are now very difficult to kill, if not
00:43:22
impossible to kill.
00:43:24
So it's something that I know it continues to show up in a number of areas.
00:43:30
And when you're familiar with that process, you know, cancer cells is a good example.
00:43:35
If you don't kill them all to begin with, it can sometimes come back strong.
00:43:40
That whole process happens more and more often than what you would originally expect.
00:43:45
And you notice it when it's you're aware of it.
00:43:48
Yeah, totally.
00:43:51
To move on to the next not comfortable example in book two of modernity in the denial of
00:44:00
antifragility, he introduces the idea here of eatrogenics, which is the net harm being,
00:44:08
which is net harm being done by people who have good intentions.
00:44:12
So the example that he uses here is a medical example where doctors will prescribe medication
00:44:21
to treat a symptom that the person is having.
00:44:24
But he's arguing that oftentimes the individual is better off just being left alone so that
00:44:32
their body can solve the problem on their own.
00:44:35
And he says on page 125, if you want to accelerate someone's death, you can see that
00:44:38
they give them a personal doctor.
00:44:43
He brings up, and I thought this was interesting, domain dependence on how something that you
00:44:49
know is true in one arena.
00:44:52
You tend to not translate to another arena.
00:44:55
And the example he used there with doctors, he seemed to like picking on doctors.
00:45:00
And Paul does this.
00:45:01
Yeah, true.
00:45:03
He really likes picking on him.
00:45:04
But he brought up that doctors often recommend exercise.
00:45:11
And the idea there is kind of like what I was talking about earlier, where you stress
00:45:15
your body to a point and then it overcompensates and you get stronger over time when you continually
00:45:19
stress it beyond what you could do.
00:45:23
So you just continually get stronger in that sense.
00:45:25
And yet a doctor will prescribe a medication to prevent your body from overcompensating
00:45:32
because it's helping your body to overcome, say, a cold or the flu or you name it.
00:45:38
It's trying to prevent that exact process that they are promoting with exercise.
00:45:43
So the concept there is domain dependence where doctors in this example understand medicine
00:45:50
and how that can help you overcome certain things.
00:45:53
And yet they will recommend exercise, which does the opposite.
00:45:56
So it's interesting how that can happen.
00:45:59
I don't know that I agree with what you should or shouldn't do in each of those scenarios,
00:46:05
but it's at least something it's interesting to think about and to just be aware of.
00:46:09
Yeah, totally.
00:46:11
The author definitely comes across as a cantankerous old man frequently in this book.
00:46:18
And this is definitely-
00:46:19
We didn't find these books that are like this.
00:46:21
This is definitely one of the areas where that came through.
00:46:24
There was one idea in this section though that I really liked and that's the idea of
00:46:28
the signal versus the noise.
00:46:30
The idea here being that the more often that you check a system or look at data, the more
00:46:37
likely you are to receive noise or things that don't really matter.
00:46:43
And the example he gave was news, but the obvious extension of that is social media,
00:46:50
in my opinion.
00:46:51
Yeah, that's the obvious one for sure.
00:46:55
How many times do you check Twitter in a day, Mike?
00:46:58
That's-
00:46:59
You and I are probably on the very low scale of the number of times we check social media
00:47:04
in a day.
00:47:05
Because I know some folks that are on it all the time and they wonder why their battery
00:47:10
on their phone is dead all the time.
00:47:12
iOS 11 was put aside.
00:47:16
Outside of that, it's still an issue.
00:47:19
So whenever you don't know what could be there, there's so many reasons people do it.
00:47:25
But yes, I'm with you on that one.
00:47:27
Yeah, what's interesting about this is that a lot of the people who are on social media,
00:47:32
myself included, you do it because you want to stay up to date with what's going on in
00:47:38
the world.
00:47:39
That's the millennial version of the evening news, I guess.
00:47:44
But what he's saying is that the more that you check it, the less likely you are to get
00:47:49
the information that you want.
00:47:51
Because the more noise that you get, the harder it is to distill the signal or what's
00:47:55
actually happening.
00:47:56
So if you were to check Twitter once a day, you're much better off in terms of getting
00:48:01
information from there, stuff that you could actually act on, then you are checking it
00:48:06
every hour.
00:48:07
This might come back to the whole email thing too.
00:48:12
You and I both promote scheduling time to go through your email as opposed to checking
00:48:18
it hundreds of times a day.
00:48:20
And there are definitely seasons in my life.
00:48:24
And some of those have been recent where I've needed to check email on a very regular basis
00:48:31
and have hit probably two or three hundred times in a day of checking that.
00:48:35
And there are reasons that you could do that.
00:48:38
If you're working in support, you have to do that.
00:48:41
Like that is required because you're going to need to see when people, like your customers
00:48:47
need help and you want to respond to that as fast as you can.
00:48:50
Like you're going to want the notifications in that scenario.
00:48:53
It's your job to respond to that stuff.
00:48:55
So there are scenarios where that is valid.
00:48:58
In most cases, people don't work in that scenario.
00:49:03
And in those cases, it's easier to schedule a time, even if it's every twenty, thirty minutes,
00:49:08
depending on your work.
00:49:11
For Mike and I, probably more so Mike than me, you can schedule two times a day and go
00:49:17
through that.
00:49:18
For me, I've kind of got four just because I've got enough client stuff that moves quickly
00:49:22
that I need to be able to keep my clients moving because the faster they move, the faster
00:49:28
I get paid.
00:49:29
So it's in my best interest to make sure that they don't stop at all.
00:49:33
This is why I like Australian clients because they work while I'm sleeping.
00:49:36
That's awesome.
00:49:37
Now, there's also, though, I think the principle of anti-fragility can be applied to email
00:49:43
because there are certain situations that you're right, that you need to respond in
00:49:48
a timely manner.
00:49:50
There are definitely other situations that I can think of that are email related where
00:49:55
if you just don't reply, the problem solves itself.
00:49:59
I love these.
00:50:01
Yeah, and that's anti-fragility in action.
00:50:04
So I think that the author would say that if you're able to take an anti-fragility approach
00:50:09
to your email, you're not going to have as much that you're going to need to deal with
00:50:13
when you do check your email.
00:50:16
The trick is figuring out the balance there.
00:50:21
I don't like email.
00:50:24
I don't think that's a secret.
00:50:26
And I know that there are a lot of ways that I've used it, but I know that especially towards
00:50:33
the end of my workday, I have this tendency to want to check email towards the evening
00:50:40
just because there are a lot of my international clients that will send me something mid-afternoon
00:50:47
or early evening.
00:50:48
And if I can get a response out to them like 30, 45 minutes before I go to bed, they can
00:50:55
oftentimes have answers to me before I get up in the morning.
00:51:00
That is borderline addictive sometimes for me because it's something that I know I should
00:51:06
not do because the times that I'm not able to check it at that time, it's uncanny the
00:51:12
number of times that they will have their answers for themselves.
00:51:17
Like, oh, well, I didn't get that response from you.
00:51:19
So I checked with this person and that they got this to me.
00:51:22
So let's do this instead.
00:51:24
And that is amazing for me because it means I don't have to do anything in order to solve
00:51:32
that problem.
00:51:33
And I wish more email did that.
00:51:35
So maybe I need to stop checking it so much even with the client stuff.
00:51:39
That should be your action item.
00:51:41
Not checking email.
00:51:42
To do nothing.
00:51:43
Yeah.
00:51:44
Let email solve it.
00:51:45
Yeah, we both have like a on our action list.
00:51:52
What do I do with this?
00:51:53
Maybe that's my action item.
00:51:54
I'm not checking email less.
00:51:55
All right.
00:51:56
So that's book two, modernity in the denial of anti fragility.
00:52:01
Book three is a predictive view of the world.
00:52:04
There's not a whole lot here that I took notes on, but there was one interesting idea
00:52:10
which was this barbell strategy.
00:52:15
And this is where he introduces a character called Fat Tony.
00:52:18
And Fat Tony seems like the kind of guy that you wouldn't think is real bright, but he's
00:52:26
just totally anti fragile and pushes back against everything.
00:52:31
And that actually turns out really well form.
00:52:35
And this chapter, he introduces a narrative between Fat Tony and another guy named Nero.
00:52:41
And basically Nero is a little bit, if I'm my interpretation, like Nero is a little bit
00:52:48
flabbergasted that Fat Tony is so successful.
00:52:52
And all Fat Tony is doing is he's betting on the things that are anti fragile.
00:53:00
He's identifying the things that are gaining from disorder.
00:53:03
And he's just going that way as opposed to thinking logically about all the different
00:53:09
situations of problems that he faces.
00:53:11
Is that fair to say?
00:53:13
I think that's fair.
00:53:14
I mean, Nero is a book reader.
00:53:18
Fat Tony doesn't read like anything.
00:53:20
So time you translate all that out.
00:53:22
I think you're dead on.
00:53:24
Okay.
00:53:26
And the other principle that he introduces here on page 155, he says that men feel the
00:53:31
good less intensely than the bad.
00:53:33
So what he's saying here is that you want to embrace this barbell strategy to litigate
00:53:42
the risk that you are exposing yourself to.
00:53:45
If you have two opposite strategies and you don't know which one is going to work, you
00:53:51
can do a test essentially and see which one is responding well and then go all in with
00:53:56
that one.
00:53:57
Is that fair?
00:54:00
It's a classic A/B test.
00:54:01
I mean, if you do like an email newsletter, like I recently converted my newsletter stuff
00:54:09
over to ConvertKit just because I've heard a lot of good things about ConvertKit and
00:54:15
based on what I've been seeing with using ConvertKit, it's rather awesome.
00:54:20
So there's my plug for ConvertKit link in the show notes.
00:54:25
So there's something that they do and they do it extremely well with A/B testing, especially
00:54:31
with email newsletter subject lines and it lets you put in two different titles for that
00:54:40
email and you can send them out either in small groups or to the whole thing and then
00:54:44
see which one works better and then you can send the one to the broader group that is
00:54:51
the more successful of the two, if that makes sense.
00:54:53
So that's, to me, that's exactly what's going on here is you can take two different strategies
00:54:57
and if you don't know which one works, test them on a small scale and then whichever one
00:55:03
works better, then blow up with that.
00:55:05
Who's the, what's the app, buffer?
00:55:10
So they do the social media scheduling.
00:55:13
They do this heavily and I know that they've done as many as five or six different titles
00:55:20
for blog posts to see which one will get the best response and they will run with whichever
00:55:27
one gets the most clicks very quickly and they've got it nailed down how to test that
00:55:34
and it's something that they do a lot.
00:55:37
Clear down to testing colors of buttons and placement of buttons to see which ones work
00:55:42
out the best.
00:55:43
So this is not, like even YouTube does this heavily where they're always testing out new
00:55:49
UI elements and changing things around.
00:55:51
If you ever want to see the frustration with that, listen to Cortex with Mike and Gray, like
00:55:55
they talk about this a fair amount where YouTube is just different every single day for different
00:56:01
people.
00:56:02
Like you cannot do a screencast on how to do something on YouTube.
00:56:05
It'll be different before you release it.
00:56:07
Like that's just the way that they do things to try to figure out what is the best way
00:56:11
to get clicks and get people to see the ads.
00:56:13
Like they're always testing this stuff.
00:56:16
That's the exact thing that I think this addresses is find the two or three or ten different
00:56:23
strategies, test them at a small scale, whichever one works the best.
00:56:27
Blow it up.
00:56:28
Yeah, that's an interesting example.
00:56:31
I kind of can't believe I didn't think of that when I read this.
00:56:35
I was thinking of it more in terms of like the, even the job that you would take.
00:56:43
A lot of the companies that are in our space, I would say, tend to start with like a project
00:56:53
basis.
00:56:54
I've heard about a lot of other like startup type companies where they're not just going
00:57:02
out and hiring a whole bunch of developers.
00:57:05
And I know that that's kind of the way things used to be.
00:57:08
But if you're looking for somebody to fill a specific position, you kind of like have
00:57:12
a probationary period or trial period of 90 days or something just to see if this is really
00:57:17
a win.
00:57:19
And I was thinking about specifically my own experience I guess and how I got connected
00:57:24
with Asian efficiency.
00:57:25
But I know other people who have been in the same sort of situation where it's like, well,
00:57:28
I'll do a little bit of work for this company or this site or this person.
00:57:34
And if that works, we'll do a little bit bigger project.
00:57:37
And if you start off as a, let's just say a creative, you know, you're creating something,
00:57:43
whether that be you're writing for different sites, you're creating videos, you're podcasting,
00:57:48
whatever, if you can kind of hedge your bets, essentially doing an A/B test with your career,
00:57:55
then you can mitigate the risk because one of these things is going to work.
00:58:01
And then once you figure out which one is going to work, you just ride that one.
00:58:05
But like you said, yeah, this happens every single day with anybody in the online world
00:58:09
who's creating content because you could put a article out there in the headlines bad
00:58:14
and it just tanks and nobody opens it.
00:58:17
But most likely you're going to do this A/B test, especially with the email subject lines
00:58:22
to get, get opens and you're, you're not going to have nobody look at it because one
00:58:26
of the headlines that you're trying is going to work.
00:58:29
Obviously, it's not guaranteed to work.
00:58:31
You have to have a little bit of skill in writing these things.
00:58:34
But yeah, you are basically eliminating the risk, which is the barbell strategy in action.
00:58:41
And I also like how you brought it into technology because that's actually the whole theme of
00:58:46
number four, optionality, technology and the intelligence of antifragility.
00:58:50
Yeah, exactly.
00:58:53
So this book, there were a couple points in here that I really liked and there was one
00:59:01
specifically that I put in the show notes on page, or in the outline.
00:59:05
Page 220, he says, "History is truly written by losers with time on their hands in a protected
00:59:09
academic position."
00:59:12
So obviously he has very strong opinions about the people who are, I would even argue his
00:59:20
peers.
00:59:21
It seems like he's a pretty smart guy.
00:59:22
He's got the grease.
00:59:24
But he's got a problem with the traditional academic person who is just sitting at their
00:59:29
desk and writing this stuff and not actually getting out into the real world to see how
00:59:34
this stuff actually works.
00:59:36
And again, my brain went to social media and rephrasing this.
00:59:42
You could say social media is truly written by losers with time on their hands.
00:59:45
They don't necessarily even need to have a protected academic position.
00:59:49
But just think about all the negativity that comes from Twitter with the gamer gate stuff
00:59:54
or all of the abuse specifically with women.
00:59:59
These are people who have nothing better to do than tear other people down.
01:00:05
They're internet tough guys who in real life, they don't have this platform.
01:00:09
They're not going to say anything.
01:00:11
But on social media, they feel empowered.
01:00:15
And I think it's important to recognize that when you're going into these worlds, whether
01:00:22
it's an academic world like the author is talking about.
01:00:26
So he sets foot on a college campus because he's going to give a speech.
01:00:31
He's already got a guard up because he knows the type of people that are going to be there.
01:00:37
And I think the same can be said for social media as well.
01:00:42
Now there are certain pockets of social media, certain communities within the internet that
01:00:47
are definitely not in that description.
01:00:52
But I think that there are few and far between if you were to take a look at the whole.
01:00:59
I will never forget that in college, I took a number of economics classes and the professors
01:01:11
that I had in those classes taught a lot about business strategy.
01:01:18
And they spoke a lot about how you should or shouldn't run the finances of said business.
01:01:24
And at one point, I was having a conversation with a classmate and my question was, why
01:01:31
are we learning this from a person who has never run a business?
01:01:37
Why am I being taught all of this information from someone who's never been tried and tested
01:01:46
on running a business?
01:01:47
Because in this case, my professors were ones that had gone to school, went and got their
01:01:52
master's, went and got their PhD in business and then gone right into being a professor.
01:01:55
They'd never worked in the private sector in any way whatsoever.
01:02:01
So I was always a bit confused by that.
01:02:05
And I think in this case, if you read the beginning of the introduction and stuff, what
01:02:10
is it, the prologue on this one, Taleb is he tries to explain things and talk about things
01:02:19
that are real.
01:02:21
He does spell out this whole process at the beginning that he doesn't want to teach or
01:02:25
promote something that he himself is not putting in action or that he himself has not genuinely
01:02:32
learned firsthand.
01:02:33
He wants to spell all that out.
01:02:36
Having been, because he was a professor, is a professor, I forget, he works in academics
01:02:42
in the academic arena.
01:02:45
And he gets to see a lot of the backside of the professorship side of things, a whole
01:02:52
bunch of sides in that phrase, sorry about that.
01:02:55
But the interesting thing to me is he does know the back end of this.
01:02:59
And he knows that there's a lot of stuff being written and shared by people who don't
01:03:05
have, as he would call it, a practitioner level of information.
01:03:10
They're not people who have actually practiced the thing that they're teaching, which is
01:03:14
kind of concerning.
01:03:15
You and I have a very different perspective on school with our kids.
01:03:21
And this is partially why.
01:03:24
I mean, there's a lot of aspects as to why you and I have the views that we do.
01:03:28
And I think this might play into it a little bit where people who are simply academic and
01:03:33
have never practiced the things that they are doing in quote unquote, the real world,
01:03:40
because of that, it's kind of difficult to trust them and to go back to your quote,
01:03:46
history is truly written by losers with time on their hands in a protected academic position.
01:03:50
It's probably a bit harsh.
01:03:52
The author's words, not mine.
01:03:54
Yeah, I mean, that's a direct quote out of the book.
01:03:56
So maybe that'll tell you a little bit about the author's style.
01:04:00
But this is something that I feel like is maybe a bit harsh, but at the same time, there's
01:04:04
a little bit of truth to it because I feel like there's a lot of this out there where
01:04:09
the people that are promoting the science and the research and telling us what is going
01:04:13
on in the world and how the world operates are not people working in that sector.
01:04:19
Like the people that you would want to hear from are the people who are too busy to write
01:04:23
about it.
01:04:25
They're doing too much on a day to day basis to sit down and try to coach the world on
01:04:30
what you should or shouldn't do.
01:04:32
They'll do it on a one on one basis or a mentorship basis, but not necessarily from
01:04:37
a broader research level.
01:04:39
Yeah, absolutely.
01:04:41
And really, like page 248 is kind of the validation for a lot of the points that you
01:04:47
just mentioned, not to go back into the whole, "This is why we homeschool thing."
01:04:52
If you want that discussion, listen to the episode 36.
01:04:57
But on page 248, he says, "What I was given to study in school, I've forgotten.
01:05:02
What I decided to read on my own, I remember."
01:05:05
And I think that that's why we do bookworm and that's the thing that I want to instill
01:05:09
in my kids is the ability to learn what you want to learn.
01:05:13
This is an important thing is to keep learning.
01:05:16
And this is also where he mentions that he reads 30 to 60 hours per week, which I think
01:05:21
is...
01:05:22
I mean, I don't even think if I had nothing to do and I didn't have to worry about money
01:05:28
at all, I still don't think I could read for 30 to 60 hours a week.
01:05:34
That's just...
01:05:35
That's intense.
01:05:36
But if you were able to do that and actually internalize all that information, yeah, more
01:05:42
power to you.
01:05:43
You would definitely change your situation and your mindset very quickly doing that.
01:05:48
And that's important.
01:05:50
On page 235 in this section, he talks about this concept of strategic drift.
01:05:56
And I think that this is where bookworm and other things like this can help.
01:06:02
His reading books in general can help, listening to podcasts can help, listening to audiobooks.
01:06:07
It can cause you to not necessarily even change your direction, but it can cause you to refocus
01:06:16
on the right thing.
01:06:18
And I've kind of experienced this a little bit myself and it does definitely mess with
01:06:23
the frameworks like the 12-week year plan.
01:06:26
For example, my last 12-week year plan, I did okay if you look at my specific goals for
01:06:34
the 12-week year.
01:06:37
One of them, I nailed and then the other two, I made pretty good progress on.
01:06:41
I didn't fully complete them.
01:06:44
But what I also did in that section, which was completely unplanned, is I started running,
01:06:49
did my first 10k.
01:06:52
I actually took second to my age group for that, that was my first race.
01:06:57
And fitness wasn't even on my radar at the beginning.
01:06:59
I also entered the Toastmasters Humor's speech contest.
01:07:03
And as we're recording this in a week and a half, I go down to Madison to compete at
01:07:10
the district level.
01:07:11
So I've won the club level, the area level and the division level.
01:07:17
And the district level encompasses the entire state of Wisconsin and also the UP.
01:07:21
So this is essentially the finals of the Humor's speech contest, which I even mentioned in my
01:07:26
speech.
01:07:27
I don't really consider myself a funny guy.
01:07:30
It's about productive parenting lessons that I've learned from being a dad.
01:07:34
Because that's the only thing I could think of that was Humor's, is stuff that my kids
01:07:36
have done.
01:07:37
So all sales throw in the game.
01:07:40
Yeah, exactly.
01:07:42
But looking back at the last quarter, if I'm rigidly looking at it as the things that
01:07:48
I said I was going to do at the beginning of the quarter, I guess maybe I was successful.
01:07:53
But when I take into consideration all of the things that have happened and the strategic
01:07:58
drift as I embrace these other goals at the expense of my initially stated goals, I can
01:08:04
look back and say, yeah, that that was a success.
01:08:07
Does that make sense?
01:08:08
It makes sense to me.
01:08:10
Okay.
01:08:11
And I think this is a really important concept because especially for somebody who like me
01:08:15
is a high-fact finder and you've got the plan and you work the plan, you have to be
01:08:19
willing to chuck the plan every once in a while.
01:08:21
Going back to one of my follow-up items, that's one of the things I'm not good at.
01:08:26
Although in certain cases, I'm learning to embrace that mindset.
01:08:32
Yes, I agree.
01:08:34
You want to talk about math?
01:08:37
No.
01:08:39
But book five is about math.
01:08:41
The one thing I will mention here, actually, for the people who are into math, he mentions
01:08:46
at the very beginning something that would probably make a lot of sense to you.
01:08:51
He talks about how there's essentially two curves, two things that are fragile versus
01:08:57
anti-fragile and their curves are either convex, which means that they're positive or concave,
01:09:02
which means they're negative.
01:09:03
Those terms, without looking at the pictures, mean absolutely nothing to me.
01:09:07
I'm not a math person.
01:09:09
If you are a math person, you're like, "Oh, yeah, that makes sense."
01:09:12
The other thing, though, that I'll say about this, is there's this idea that you can't just
01:09:18
add up all these things and have them be equal.
01:09:20
One of the examples that he gave, which makes a lot of sense, if you drive into a wall at
01:09:25
50 miles an hour, that does more damage than driving into a wall at five miles an hour,
01:09:33
10 times.
01:09:35
You have to be careful how you apply this stuff.
01:09:39
If you just go all in right away, if you don't do those A/B tests, if you don't head your
01:09:42
bets, then you could end up being, you could end up on the wrong side of the curve, essentially.
01:09:52
So one of the things that I'm going through this section, I'm with you on the Too Much
01:10:00
Math thing.
01:10:01
I like to think that I'm good at math.
01:10:05
I use calculus and derivatives and such whenever I'm doing a lot of programming, because it
01:10:10
seems like a lot of folks want calculations to run on the back end of a website or a
01:10:16
plugin that I'm working on.
01:10:17
I get that.
01:10:19
So I end up using some fairly sophisticated math to build those programs, because they
01:10:25
just simply run better whenever you can use some of these higher level formulas and such.
01:10:30
So I like to think that I understand math at a pretty decent level, but this kind of got
01:10:36
over me on some of it.
01:10:39
Okay, I think I understand what you're getting at.
01:10:44
I get the idea that you're trying to get across.
01:10:50
I just want this to be done.
01:10:53
Are we done with this section yet?
01:10:54
Like even right now, can we go into the next book section, please?
01:10:58
Yeah, and he does give you permission to do that at the beginning.
01:11:01
To be fair, he says if you're not in a math, you can just skip this one and go straight
01:11:06
to book six.
01:11:07
So maybe we should skip this one and go six now.
01:11:11
Yeah, exactly.
01:11:12
Okay.
01:11:13
So book six is via negativa.
01:11:15
And the idea here is that positive outcomes come from avoiding negative scenarios.
01:11:23
So it's kind of addition by subtraction.
01:11:25
One of the ideas that I really like from this section is on page 315.
01:11:30
He mentions that technology is at its best when it is invisible, which is a really cool
01:11:37
idea.
01:11:38
And if you think about specifically, it's iPhone season.
01:11:42
So as we record this anyways, you think about the iPhone...
01:11:45
You're getting a new one.
01:11:46
You're getting a tan?
01:11:47
You're going to do it?
01:11:48
I think I might.
01:11:49
I'm going to see if I can get it this year.
01:11:54
Probably.
01:11:55
If I have to wait till June, then probably not.
01:11:57
I'm going to get it between the morning.
01:11:59
And if I don't get it till next year, I'll still be happy.
01:12:01
My success is definitely struggling.
01:12:06
But the idea there, obviously, the iPhone is not invisible.
01:12:11
I would say that Apple maybe is trying to take steps to make it invisible with the Apple
01:12:16
Watch, but there's a lot of problems there because in a lot of scenarios, the Apple Watch
01:12:20
just replaces the phone in terms of visibility.
01:12:24
If you don't trim your notifications at all, then really having that with you doesn't mean
01:12:28
that you're paying more attention to the thing that you're supposed to be paying attention
01:12:31
to.
01:12:32
It just means that you're getting your notifications and your interruptions using a different medium,
01:12:37
which is always physically attached to you.
01:12:42
So I don't really like that idea.
01:12:45
And I think it's important to consider what the technologies are doing in our lives.
01:12:50
So the iPhone, as an example, this is something that I think the author would really rail
01:12:58
against based on this quote, "Technology is at its best when it's invisible."
01:13:02
Because you see people walking around with their faces down, looking at their phones.
01:13:05
The iPhone is definitely not invisible.
01:13:09
That being said, it's also a great example of the antifragility of the technology because
01:13:16
he also says in here that the longer a technology lives, the longer it can be expected to live.
01:13:21
It's in essence, it's non-perishable.
01:13:24
And the iPhone now has been around for a while.
01:13:25
A smartphone has been around for a while.
01:13:28
And he's arguing that the longer that something stays around, the less likely it is to just
01:13:33
be replaced by something else.
01:13:36
Which is an interesting idea because you hear about companies that are always looking for
01:13:42
the next new thing.
01:13:43
We talked about it in the last book with Kodak and paid to think.
01:13:47
And the example there, they had the new technology.
01:13:49
They had digital camera technology that they didn't chase.
01:13:54
And I think that reading this, it kind of validates some of their actions where they
01:14:01
drag their feet and then it actually is something that ushers out the old era and ushers in
01:14:07
a new era.
01:14:08
But what the author is saying here is that that's not the default.
01:14:14
As a general rule, you can say this thing has been around for 100 years.
01:14:19
Like the automobile, it's not going to go away anytime soon.
01:14:25
I say this at our church quite a bit because with, you know, I run sound at our church.
01:14:31
And if you've ever been to one of our services, you would see that we have a fairly sophisticated
01:14:38
way of running sound.
01:14:40
Our church is large enough and we have some very generous people such that we have some
01:14:45
really cool equipment that we can do some things with it.
01:14:49
And I tell people that as a sound person, as the IT guy, my goal is to never be noticed.
01:14:57
Like that is my goal.
01:14:59
If no one knows I'm here, that was a successful day.
01:15:02
Like that is just the way it works.
01:15:05
And that has a lot to do with, you know, lights have to be set correctly.
01:15:09
The slides have to run smoothly.
01:15:12
Sound should be clear and never accidentally muted at the wrong time.
01:15:16
Like all of that should be in place such that you never know I'm in that booth.
01:15:23
If everybody turns around and looks at me, that means I did not do my job.
01:15:27
Like something I screwed it up somehow.
01:15:30
Like that is what happened.
01:15:32
And this I think spells that out to a T because with all of the tech, you want it to be in
01:15:39
place such that it runs automatically and it doesn't ever get in your way.
01:15:45
And this is something that I know I've seen some.
01:15:50
And this is partially what led me to going to a paper system.
01:15:54
And I know I haven't really talked about that on bookworm at all.
01:15:59
But that whole system is partially because so much of say, Omni-focused to-doist, to-do
01:16:08
wonder list or to use Hurley's vendor list.
01:16:12
Like if you want to go with to-doist, all that stuff, go for it.
01:16:15
But the thing is with all of these, they all have some form of structure in them.
01:16:20
And no matter what you do, there is always a way that you are supposed to use that tool.
01:16:25
And you have to learn what that way is, like what that method in syntax is and how you
01:16:30
should enter tasks and how you should enter projects and what you can and can't spell
01:16:34
out inside of it.
01:16:35
Like you're always in the back of your mind thinking that through, which tells me that
01:16:39
the tech isn't out of the way.
01:16:42
But the tech isn't just flowing behind the scenes and letting you work the way you should,
01:16:47
which is why I've gone over to paper because I'm locked into zero structure with that.
01:16:52
I can impose my own structure on it and do whatever I want within that.
01:16:56
But I can always break the rules and draw pictures in the middle of a task list.
01:17:00
Like I can do that.
01:17:01
I can't do that in Omni-focused.
01:17:02
I can't do that in any task manager that I know of.
01:17:05
So that level of getting out of the way, I don't think we've gotten to yet, which is
01:17:11
why I've gone in a log.
01:17:13
But I would love to see it get to that point.
01:17:15
I mean, I have all kinds of ideas on how to build one of these things.
01:17:18
That's a huge undertaking.
01:17:19
Don't do it.
01:17:20
So I have ideas on this, but at the same time, we're not there.
01:17:25
I would love to see us get there, but we're not there.
01:17:28
Yeah, definitely.
01:17:29
And the other thing about the technology and the systems that you have in place, the more
01:17:34
pieces that you add to those systems, the more opportunities there are for things to
01:17:39
break.
01:17:40
That makes the point in this chapter that technology is by nature fragile.
01:17:45
And so in many instances, less is more.
01:17:49
And I would say that is true of the system that you have at your church.
01:17:54
Like every piece of technology that you use that's plugged into the system has to have
01:18:00
a specific function.
01:18:01
And if it doesn't have a function, you don't want to be sending sound through this thing.
01:18:04
That's really not adding anything to the mix because that's another piece of equipment
01:18:08
that could go bad.
01:18:10
And now it's something in the chain that you have to identify.
01:18:14
And I think you probably know more about running sound than I do at this point.
01:18:18
So is that fair to say?
01:18:21
Yes.
01:18:22
I mean, the classic example, as a sound person that runs live events, the number one thing
01:18:30
that you're always trying to pay attention to is feedback because you're trying to get
01:18:34
volume, but you don't want feedback, like that is the killer of all live events.
01:18:41
And what I can do because I've run it enough is I can look at a stage setup and I can tell
01:18:46
you the exact instruments that are potentially going to have feedback just by looking at how
01:18:51
things are laid out on stage.
01:18:53
The way the monitors are pointed, the way all the microphones are set up, I can tell you
01:18:56
where my potential problems are.
01:18:58
And when we do a rehearsal, if I hear even a tinge of feedback, I can usually tell you
01:19:04
the exact instrument that is coming from without even looking at the board.
01:19:08
Like I can do that because I know how all of that stuff is set up and there may be 15
01:19:14
microphones on that stage with say seven or eight monitors plus the main speaker system.
01:19:20
Like it can get intense with how much is on that stage and how much volume and stuff is
01:19:26
flowing from place to place.
01:19:27
But it can get really sticky.
01:19:30
But if you do big events, like we've done some things in one of the parks here in town
01:19:36
has an amphitheater that you can set up and you can rent it out and blah, blah, blah.
01:19:41
And I go help set that up and I don't run it, but I at least set it all up.
01:19:45
And we've done that enough that I can tell you when you're setting up the subs or you're
01:19:49
setting up the main speakers, there are very specific ways you want that set up.
01:19:54
Always put it in front of the microphones if you can, like that whole thing.
01:19:58
It can get hairy very quickly and you have to know, you have to know how to set up a
01:20:04
lot of stuff with that clear down to EQs and compressors.
01:20:07
They can change all the feedback things.
01:20:09
But most of what you're doing is mitigating feedback.
01:20:11
That's mostly what you're doing.
01:20:13
Yeah.
01:20:14
And when you get feedback and you've got a hundred different channels that that could
01:20:19
be coming from the more sliders you add to your board, the more likely you are to hit
01:20:23
the wrong one really is exactly the point here.
01:20:26
And also the more that you add, the harder it gets to define the specific thing that
01:20:33
you're doing.
01:20:34
Now that's not a big deal when you're running sound because really what people are looking
01:20:38
for is just that whatever sound happens to be being, being, whatever sound is being made
01:20:45
that it sounds good.
01:20:46
But also, this comes back to the whole idea of selling yourself specifically online.
01:20:55
Like we talked about in the last episode and I'm reminded of a quote by Sean McCabe who
01:20:59
wrote the book Overlap.
01:21:00
He says, "You can be known for something or you can be known for nothing."
01:21:03
And really what he's saying is that you have to identify what you're going to project.
01:21:08
And you may have all of these different skills and do all of these different things, but
01:21:13
you have to distill it down to one thing.
01:21:16
If someone were to ask you, "What do you do?" and you say, "Well, I do this, this, this,
01:21:19
and this," you're going to be filed in that person's mental junk drawer.
01:21:23
But if you say, "I am a wedding photographer," then when they're going to get married, they're
01:21:28
going to think of you as a potential solution to the problem that they're having.
01:21:34
And so that's another idea that he visits in this book, which I thought was really good.
01:21:38
And then the last thing in here, which kind of stood out to me, was this rule that he
01:21:45
has where he only reads books that are older than 10 years.
01:21:51
The theory being here that only good books survive, I'm not sure this is true.
01:21:57
I'm interested to get your thoughts on this.
01:22:00
I enjoy reading books that push the modern envelope a little bit because you always get
01:22:09
to see what's the latest science on things, what are people in today's world thinking
01:22:12
about.
01:22:13
So I kind of disagreed with him on this.
01:22:15
I think there's a lot of value in reading older books.
01:22:19
And I wish, I shouldn't say I wish, I think I may select more older books in the future
01:22:26
for a bookworm just because they've been around for a reason.
01:22:30
And we haven't really gone down that path.
01:22:33
Most of the books we read are five years old or less.
01:22:35
And a lot of cases are one or two years old, which is interesting because there's a lot
01:22:39
of more, a lot more interesting aspects and ideas that pertain to what we're doing today
01:22:48
and how our culture operates in today's world.
01:22:50
So I think there's a lot of value in the more modern books, but at the same time, there
01:22:56
are a lot of old books that have ideas that I think we could benefit from here on bookworm.
01:23:01
So I may select some of those.
01:23:02
It was maybe a thing that I considered, it wasn't really even worth putting an action
01:23:06
item for it.
01:23:07
It was just an interesting idea.
01:23:09
Yeah, I think there's a lot of those things that just really aren't worth putting an action
01:23:13
item for interesting ideas in this book.
01:23:16
Yes.
01:23:17
So the point there he's making is that we're more likely to notice the things that change
01:23:22
than the things that don't.
01:23:24
And we give them artificially more importance, even if they don't necessarily deserve it.
01:23:31
Now you've got a point in here, which also this could be a big topic, but the whole idea
01:23:36
of health and antifragility, because he says in this section that a lot of health conditions
01:23:41
are cured simply by removing something.
01:23:43
Like if you were to remove sugar from your diet, that may clear up a lot of the health
01:23:47
issues that you happen to be experiencing.
01:23:51
I put this on the list because I struggle with migraines.
01:23:54
I don't know if you know this or not, Mike.
01:23:56
I feel like I've told you about this at one point, but I don't know if it's come up on
01:23:59
bookworm or not.
01:24:01
But I shouldn't say on a regular basis, but about once a month, sometimes more frequently,
01:24:08
I'll get migraines that are bad enough that my vision gets blurry and I can't sit down,
01:24:15
you can't stand up, you can't lay down.
01:24:17
Nothing helps on these things.
01:24:21
And it can strike at weird times.
01:24:24
It usually will hit me at about 10, 30 or 11 o'clock in the morning.
01:24:29
And I know that whenever I get up in the morning, I can tell you if I'm going to get one that
01:24:34
day.
01:24:35
Nothing in the morning, 5, 36 o'clock in the morning, I can tell you this is what is going
01:24:41
to happen today.
01:24:42
And I know it's going to happen.
01:24:43
And I usually have to send out emails telling people, "Today's probably not going to get
01:24:48
a lot done on your project.
01:24:49
It's just not going to happen.
01:24:50
It's going to have to wait until tomorrow or the following day."
01:24:53
And I try to tell them, "I've got this whole migraine thing, blah, blah, blah, blah.
01:24:57
It's bad enough I've got a text expander snippet for it."
01:25:00
So it's a thing that I don't enjoy.
01:25:04
However, I bring this up because I have learned a number of triggers that cause these things.
01:25:12
And oddly enough, these things come back to not enough sleep, sugar intake from the following
01:25:20
day, stress levels impact it quite a bit.
01:25:25
And if you compound any of those, you know, sleeping in a different bed, like there's
01:25:29
a lot of little things that add up to it.
01:25:33
It does have a lot to do with health, what I'm eating.
01:25:36
It seems to impact it quite a bit.
01:25:38
So these are things that I've learned that impact it at the same time because I've noticed
01:25:45
that say sugar can impact this, I've cut back on how much sugar I will consume, which
01:25:51
means that whenever people bring, say, desserts over for our small group or we go to an event
01:26:00
and they have cookies or something.
01:26:02
I actually need to avoid those in today's world for me because I know that I have no tolerance
01:26:09
for that level of sugar anymore because I've been cutting it so much.
01:26:13
And that means that if I eat a cookie that someone else made, I'm most likely going to
01:26:18
get a migraine tomorrow.
01:26:20
That is the level of impact that it's going to have.
01:26:24
So it's kind of the opposite of what we've been talking about here where you consume a
01:26:29
thing and you build up your tolerance to it.
01:26:31
It works the other way too because I'm not consuming a thing as regularly.
01:26:37
It then leads me to having potentially bad health effects as a result from that.
01:26:43
So it's something that I've noticed impacts health quite a bit.
01:26:47
And I love talking about the health piece with anti-fragility because I feel like it's
01:26:51
a perfect example of how it works because you tend to overcompensate in both directions
01:27:00
depending on how much you're consuming of a thing or how much you're not consuming of
01:27:03
a thing or how much you're stressing your body or how much you're not.
01:27:05
Those things all impact it and your body tends to acclimate to the environment that you're
01:27:11
putting it in.
01:27:12
I just don't like migraines.
01:27:14
So I have been trying to find ways to prevent these things.
01:27:18
Yeah, that's a really good point because it illustrates something that he mentions earlier.
01:27:23
But the essential idea is that we react to pain more than pleasure.
01:27:31
We want to avoid pain more than we want to experience pleasure.
01:27:34
So telling somebody like you should change your diet because you'll live longer or it's
01:27:40
going to have some desirable effect, that's not going to be as impactful as removing something
01:27:46
in order to stop your head from feeling like it's going to explode.
01:27:52
What exploding equals bad?
01:27:54
Yes, yes.
01:27:55
Should we move on to the last one?
01:27:58
Sure.
01:27:59
All right.
01:28:00
The one that neither one of us really care for either.
01:28:03
There's a book five or seven we don't like them.
01:28:05
We're not going to spend a whole lot of time in this one.
01:28:09
A book seven in the last book here is the ethics of fragility and anti fragility.
01:28:17
So this is a whole can of worms that you could probably launch an entire podcast and just
01:28:24
never get to the bottom of this particular topic.
01:28:28
But the thing that stood out to me in here, which I think is a really valid idea, he said
01:28:33
it a little bit different, is this whole idea of skin in the game.
01:28:36
He mentions the Roman architects had to spend time under the bridges that they built.
01:28:43
And that's a very valid idea.
01:28:44
If you are going to create this thing and there's the potential that it will harm other people,
01:28:52
you should have enough confidence in it to say, look, it's, I'm going to do this and it's
01:28:58
not going to harm me.
01:29:00
The term I think for this nowadays would be dog fooding where you want to listen to people
01:29:07
who are practicing what they are telling you to do.
01:29:11
You don't want people who are saying one thing and doing another.
01:29:17
This is why I struggle to use apps and services where the creators themselves don't use it.
01:29:27
So if I build a thing, I want to make sure that's a thing that I'm using.
01:29:31
If I build a plugin for discourse, I want that plugin installed on my own instance of
01:29:37
discourse, like I want that thing on my system because if it breaks, then I need to have
01:29:47
my system break as well because it creates that urgency and then my customers sense that
01:29:52
as well and then they're better off as a result.
01:29:54
So anytime I create a thing like that, write code in some way that I'm going to be selling,
01:30:01
I want it on my thing.
01:30:03
That's the way I tend to come at it.
01:30:05
Now if I'm building a thing for a client, there's no way I should be running.
01:30:09
I mean, those things are so specific to their environment.
01:30:12
I shouldn't be running those and they just have to let me know.
01:30:15
I mean, that's a little bit of a different scenario, but I do think that if you're selling
01:30:19
something on a regular basis, an app or a service or a website, et cetera, you need
01:30:24
to be using it a lot yourself.
01:30:26
And there are a couple of cases where I feel like I slack on this a little bit and need
01:30:31
to be a little bit better at it, but at the same time, like this is a thing that I'm very
01:30:34
aware of and I wish more people would do it, Mike.
01:30:36
Yeah, and it's not just using the thing.
01:30:38
Like there's different levels of commitment to the tool or the that you're promoting or
01:30:45
even the message that you're sending out.
01:30:50
Reminds me of the chicken and the pig.
01:30:55
The story here is that they're going to start a restaurant.
01:30:58
They're going to serve bacon and eggs.
01:31:01
And the chicken is involved, but the pig is committed.
01:31:04
Like there is very, very real ramifications for the pig, but not so much for the chicken.
01:31:12
And I think that you can tell when somebody is authentic in their message, when they've
01:31:17
lived it out, that resonates and they have that authenticity that the person who's like,
01:31:23
hey, yeah, you should just try this thing.
01:31:25
It may work.
01:31:26
Like that's not what they say, but that's how it comes across.
01:31:29
So you can see that in the message that they're sending out.
01:31:33
So that's a big piece here is that if you're going to promote a thing, if you're going
01:31:39
to have a message, then make sure that you can fully support what you are saying because
01:31:45
you fully believe it.
01:31:47
And then the other big thing here is that just because something is legal does not mean
01:31:51
that it's ethical.
01:31:52
And we intentionally did not get into any of the politics stuff.
01:31:57
Also in this chapter, he talks about how the net gain, so yes, some people are going to
01:32:08
suffer, but if it ends up being a net gain, sometimes that's okay.
01:32:13
My words, not his, I guess, trying to distill what he said.
01:32:17
That's the way I read it though.
01:32:20
And obviously there's a whole lot of, you got to be careful when you're embracing that
01:32:26
idea.
01:32:27
Right.
01:32:28
And he even calls that out.
01:32:30
He knows that this is not a thing that I like, that some people need to suffer for the greater
01:32:38
good of the population.
01:32:40
He doesn't like that.
01:32:41
So thankfully he does call that out.
01:32:44
And I was glad that he did call that out.
01:32:47
But at the same time, like there are cases he brings up, some stories he brings up where
01:32:52
a number of people died.
01:32:55
And that was a good thing.
01:32:56
Like that is what he's saying.
01:32:58
He's like, I don't like that that's a good thing.
01:33:00
But the greater population, this business failed.
01:33:03
That's a good thing for the general entrepreneur base because it means there's a hole for people
01:33:09
to fill.
01:33:10
Like he goes through that, like the broader culture gets better as a result of some of
01:33:16
that, but it's still not a thing that's positive in that moment for those people.
01:33:22
So I was at least grateful he called that out.
01:33:24
Yeah, he may not like saying that message, but I think he does like putting it at the
01:33:29
end of the book and seeing how uncomfortable it makes you.
01:33:32
Yes, I think he's just trying to get you fired up right at the end.
01:33:36
Yeah, I don't think I'd like this guy if I'm at it.
01:33:37
I feel like he would just try to push all my buttons.
01:33:41
And I don't think it would be terribly hard to do given his topic matter.
01:33:44
No, not at all.
01:33:45
Like, oh, you work in railroad here.
01:33:49
Let me tell you how a broken rail line is a good thing.
01:33:52
What?
01:33:53
Yeah.
01:33:54
So you mentioned this earlier, but neither of us have any action items for this book.
01:34:02
So which is weird given how long this thing is.
01:34:05
Yeah, theoretically follow up should be short next time.
01:34:10
But yeah, the way that it's written, this reminded me of shoot, what's the name of the
01:34:17
book, the Ken Robinson book.
01:34:20
I don't think I had any action items for that one either because it was a lot of monologue
01:34:27
about a topic, but nothing really tangible.
01:34:30
Like, okay, go and do this.
01:34:32
Like there's some ideas in here which are going to be important, like the barbell strategy.
01:34:38
And I can see myself putting that into practice at some point, but it's not something that
01:34:44
I'm going to make sure that I embrace every single day.
01:34:47
It's not something that I can make a habit out of and it's going to provide a change.
01:34:52
So it's, and therefore it's not something that I really enjoyed to read.
01:34:58
I don't like to just collect information.
01:35:02
I like it when the information inspires action.
01:35:06
And I really don't think there's a whole lot of action that's coming out of this book.
01:35:11
You're talking about out of our minds, Ken Robinson.
01:35:13
Yes, yes, that's the one.
01:35:15
Yeah.
01:35:16
So I'm with you on that.
01:35:17
Very similar to that where there's a lot of interesting facts and a lot of stories.
01:35:22
And from a content standpoint, I think there's a lot that you can learn in this book.
01:35:28
So if we're going to, you know, no action items, I don't know if that's good or bad.
01:35:33
But you know, from a style standpoint, it's hard to read.
01:35:37
I found it hard to read just because it feels like you need to read 30 to 60 hours for the
01:35:43
books every week for a few years to be able to really comprehend everything that he has
01:35:47
here.
01:35:48
And I don't really see that as a positive because very few people are going to read
01:35:53
at that level.
01:35:54
So it kind of limits the number of people that are going to understand everything in
01:35:59
this.
01:36:00
So you kind of have to just be okay with not understanding every reference he makes, which
01:36:05
I guess is a good thing because it means there's something in there for everybody, I suppose.
01:36:09
So it's hard to read in that sense.
01:36:12
And I felt like there was a, again, there's a lot of good things you can take from it,
01:36:17
but at the same time, I'm probably not going to recommend this to very many people, very
01:36:23
few at all, just because it's tough.
01:36:27
Yeah, it's definitely tough.
01:36:31
And the, if you were to just cherry pick sections of this book, there's a good chance that I
01:36:38
would like the writer's style, but when you take it in totality, the entire thing, I feel
01:36:44
like he's the way that he writes is almost condescending.
01:36:51
Like he thinks he's really funny and you're an idiot if you don't understand his jokes.
01:36:57
I can't think of any specific examples of that, but just like the way that he words
01:37:00
things, he words it in a way where like, I think back to the TED talk that you had sent
01:37:06
me of Ken Robinson, where he's actually a very funny guy.
01:37:12
I feel like if you were to take Mr. Taleb and put him in that arena, he would be laughing
01:37:21
at his own jokes, but no one else would get it.
01:37:24
That's fair.
01:37:25
That's fair.
01:37:26
Yeah.
01:37:27
So I get it.
01:37:28
So I mean, all of this put together, I think from a ratings standpoint, I think I would
01:37:33
put it at maybe 3.5, I think is where I'll put it because there's some interesting stuff
01:37:38
in it, but it's a tough one to get through.
01:37:41
Yeah, I think that's fair.
01:37:42
I was on the fence between a three and a 3.5 because you're right.
01:37:49
Like actually talking through this with you, I realized that I got more out of this than
01:37:53
I first thought.
01:37:55
There are quite a few points in here that I think are going to stick with me like the
01:38:02
barbell strategy and the whole idea of improving something by removing something.
01:38:08
Like those are pretty powerful, powerful ideas, but definitely didn't enjoy this book.
01:38:17
And definitely not something that I would just recommend to somebody like you mentioned.
01:38:21
I totally agree with that.
01:38:22
So I'm going to say 3.0.
01:38:24
Fair enough.
01:38:26
There you go.
01:38:27
So let's put this one on the shelf.
01:38:30
And what are we doing next time, Mike?
01:38:33
Next time we are doing another reader recommendation or listener recommendation, which is mindset
01:38:40
by Carol Dweck.
01:38:42
And this is shorter than both of these books, the last two that we've done.
01:38:47
So a little bit of a break.
01:38:49
But then you've got another long one.
01:38:52
Yes, it's a long one, but this is one that has made the rounds.
01:38:58
It's a listener recommendation.
01:39:00
I'm kind of surprised we haven't gone through it yet.
01:39:03
It's the 40x, the four disciplines of execution.
01:39:07
And I feel like this is right up our wheelhouse.
01:39:11
And yet we've not done it.
01:39:12
A listener recommended it.
01:39:13
So here we are.
01:39:15
All right.
01:39:16
I've actually started reading this book, could not finish it.
01:39:20
So spoiler alert.
01:39:25
That's good to know.
01:39:26
I've actually already read it and synthesized it to a point because we did it for the pro
01:39:33
side of the guild, the productivity guild.
01:39:35
So we did it for that.
01:39:36
And I wanted to talk through it with you because we talked through books and I feel like I
01:39:40
synthesized them better when you and I talk about it.
01:39:42
True.
01:39:43
So you're going to make me muscle through this one.
01:39:44
I'm a force it.
01:39:46
All right.
01:39:48
Gap books.
01:39:49
I've got Perennial Seller by Ryan Holiday, which I know that you've read.
01:39:54
It's just read this one.
01:39:55
Yeah.
01:39:56
I love Ryan Holiday.
01:39:57
We covered the obstacles the way on Bookworm and it was really good.
01:40:01
So I make just to dive into this one.
01:40:03
And you've got a book that I actually picked for a gap book at one point.
01:40:07
We may need to turn this into an episode.
01:40:09
Well, I did Perennial Seller for a gap book at one point too.
01:40:12
So we're like trading gap books.
01:40:14
That's true.
01:40:15
Mine is Make Your Bed by William McRavin.
01:40:16
So I think maybe we should just do fillers and just do both of those.
01:40:25
Make Your Bed is a really cool book for the Bookworm format.
01:40:31
It's short, but it's got a lot of stories that have a lot of good points that we could
01:40:38
definitely unpack and turn into a two-hour podcast.
01:40:41
There you go.
01:40:43
Although the book probably only takes you about two hours to read.
01:40:48
Good to know.
01:40:49
I haven't officially started it yet.
01:40:51
That's this evening.
01:40:52
So good to know.
01:40:54
If you want to recommend a book, you can do that by going to bookworm.fm/list.
01:41:02
And you will see a list of all of the books that we've covered, the ones that are planned,
01:41:08
and the ones that are recommended.
01:41:09
And on the sidebar, you will see there is a link to recommend a book.
01:41:14
So if you want to make us go through another textbook, you can go there and recommend it.
01:41:19
But we won't please promise that we will go through it.
01:41:23
And if you want to interact with us in any way, there are a couple ways you can do that.
01:41:30
The first and the most exciting one is to leave an iTunes review, link in the show notes,
01:41:37
click the link.
01:41:38
You can leave us a review there.
01:41:39
That helps out a ton because it helps other people find us.
01:41:42
And it's been fun to watch the Bookworm listenership grow lately.
01:41:46
It seems like it's starting to gain some traction, which is exciting.
01:41:50
So we ask that you would leave us a review on iTunes.
01:41:53
And if you want to leave comments on that review, go for it.
01:41:56
If you have other comments that you want to share, there will be a link in the show notes
01:42:00
to the Guild where we tend to do comments on the podcast.
01:42:04
So if you have questions, you're looking for a link that I failed to get into the show
01:42:07
notes, you can always post it there as well.
01:42:10
All right.
01:42:11
So if you're following along, the next book is Mindset by Carol Dweck.
01:42:16
And we will talk to you next time.